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We are in Bonn, but all eyes are on Brussels

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All eyes on the EU

Today starts the meeting of the EU Council, which will mark their priorities for the next 5 years, and climate change is one of the main issues of their agenda. Merkel “made it clear that we want a discussion about how we can be climate neutral in Germany by 2050 — and that also goes for Europe,” her spokesman Steffen Seibert told reporters in Berlin on Monday.
Rumours are that they could announce their long term strategy for 2050, which would make them neutral in emissions. Many European countries already put forward similar long term visions, such as the UK or Finland, very well summarized in this article by the New York Times.

However, CAN Europe’s Analysis is that Poland, Slovakia, Romania, Croatia, Czechia and Bulgaria are the key countries to watch for anyone keen on pushing the block.

[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][vc_column column_padding=”no-extra-padding” column_padding_position=”all” background_color_opacity=”1″ background_hover_color_opacity=”1″ width=”1/3″][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row type=”in_container” scene_position=”center” text_color=”dark” text_align=”left” overlay_strength=”0.3″][vc_column column_padding=”no-extra-padding” column_padding_position=”all” background_color_opacity=”1″ background_hover_color_opacity=”1″ width=”1/1″][image_with_animation image_url=”55428″ alignment=”center” animation=”Fade In”][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row type=”in_container” scene_position=”center” text_color=”dark” text_align=”left” overlay_strength=”0.3″][vc_column column_padding=”no-extra-padding” column_padding_position=”all” background_color_opacity=”1″ background_hover_color_opacity=”1″ width=”1/3″][vc_column_text][/vc_column_text][/vc_column][vc_column column_padding=”no-extra-padding” column_padding_position=”all” background_color_opacity=”1″ background_hover_color_opacity=”1″ width=”1/3″][vc_column_text]What is quite unlikely that they will do is to revise their 2030, as a response to this week’s Secretary General demand. According to the World Health Organisation, if the EU upgrades to a 55% reduction by 2030 (instead of the current 40%), 54 thousand premature deaths could be avoided, and would represent 187 million euros in savings per year.

Ask the scientists

Climate Tracker followed up on the IPCC discussions after the crazy news from earlier this week. Apparently, some countries want to de-legitimise the latest IPCC report on 1.5 saying that “Science takes time”, so for them this report came out too quickly. Seriously? Last year more than 10,000 scientific reports were published on climate change.
So we decided to go talk with the scientists and see what they had to say. You can read it here.

Common timeframes in Bonn

 

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After 1 week of negotiations, here’s a rapid wrap-up for anyone who wants to get back on track

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One of the more challenging topics of the first week, as each country grouping wants to align their climate planning with their domestic politics.

We started the week with 4 different timeframes. They included 10 year and 5 year cycles and a combination of them both. Yesterday there was even a thought that timeframes weren’t even needed. We now have 6, which combine all of these and add some more open options

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In the review of the Warsaw International Mechanism on Loss and Damage, countries are stuck between the past and the future. Developing countries want to analyse how the last few years of the mechanism has gone, and suggest how to improve this in the future – including finance! While developed countries prefer to just get stuck in the past.

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We saw yesterday how the Gentlemen’s agreement was broken and the proposed text was dropped. Today, Saudi Arabia had a range of arguments against the report, including how “science for global warming is just emerging”. This does not seem to go in the right direction.

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They know how to work! They designed a 6-year work plan which includes 11 pages of a table with a list of things to do, on economic diversification, just transition, amongst others.

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Tim Wagner / Ende Gelände (CC BY 2.0)

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In the review of the Warsaw International Mechanism on Loss and Damage, countries are stuck between the past and the future. Developing countries want to analyse how the last few years of the mechanism has gone, and suggest how to improve this in the future – including finance! While developed countries prefer to just get stuck in the past.

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After a week of failed EU Leaders meetings, Finland has called a summit in Helsinki on the 11th of July to discuss 2030 goals.

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Monday has a 50/50 chance of being Germany’s hottest day ever (40 degrees) and all next week is going to be above 35 degrees in the day, and not drop below 20 at night. This is a real threat to health and life across Europe. We can only hope it spurs negotiators on.

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